When political races are TCTC — too close to call — the fascinating speculation is that anyone of a whole host of variables could determine the winner. That is where the state and country are as the long-awaited end to the dead heat battle between the former GOP president and current Democratic Vice President.
Set aside the old bromide about the winner is based on turnout, turnout, turnout. Obviously but the deeper question is which group turns out in a large enough number to turn this election one way or the other where the margin of victory around these parts could be 11,000 or less like it was in 2016. Or only 150,000 in Michigan in 2020.
For example if you accept the premise that women vote in larger numbers than men, the winner is surely Kamala Harris. She has consistently garnered more female voters than Donald Trump and in one recent survey it was a 22 point advantage for her over him.
